Month: July 2015

Red Sox Offense Still on All-Star Break

Garrett Richards Dominated. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

Garrett Richards Dominated. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

For the second night in a row the Red Sox offense was blanked, this time thanks to a complete game, two hit effort by Garrett Richards. It’s good to see him return to form after that awful non-contact injury he suffered last year at Fenway when I famously declared “He’s fine. I think he just rolled his ankle.”

Both hits came off the bat of Pablo Sandoval. In my mind this further proves the theory I’ve mentioned a couple times on these pages about why he’s so valuable in the postseason. The Panda’s approach at the plate is so … uh

… unique, that even when a guy has his best stuff and is shutting down your entire lineup, he can find a way to square the ball up and make solid contact.

This has been a disastrous start to the second half for the Red Sox, draining most of that momentum they built before the break when they were playing their best baseball of the season. You have to wonder why Farrell went with Porcello last night when presumably everyone else was available besides Miley. Maybe he didn’t wan’t him sitting around thinking too much about his next start? I personally think a full week-plus off would’ve been a good thing for Rick. Or at least it couldn’t have hurt, and we’d have guys with ERAs under 5.79 taking the hill in the meantime. (You know it’s bad when Righty’s optimism is waning). I guess it’s all moot because the Red Sox scored 0 runs. Not even Pedro could give up -1 runs in a start, although sometimes it felt that way.

Porcello’s final results weren’t awful:

Pitchers IP  H  R ER BB SO HR PC-ST ERA
Porcello (L, 5-10) 5.0 4 3 2 3 5 2 102-57 5.79

but he really didn’t pitch well. He struggled with his command and got away with a lot of balls up in the zone. The gopher ball has been the most glaring weakness of Porcello’s glaring weaknesses this season. He gave up two to Kole Calhoun, and has now surrendered 18 on the season, which is somehow only 4th most in the AL.

Notes:

-More good news for the Angels: The last team to shutout the Red Sox in back-to-back games was the ’09 Yankees, who went on to win the World Series. I love stats like this because they’re 100% irrelevant for so many reasons – mainly since this Red Sox team is almost completely different than the ’09 squad – but still interesting.

Justin Masterson pitched 3 shutout innings in relief, walking no one and striking out 4.

Miley Perfect for a While, Trout Perfect Once

This is a very sad picture. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

I got home from dinner last night and, during some confusion about how to operate a voice-controlled remote control, Righty pulled up the Gamecast for last night’s Red Sox-Angels game to see what was going on. “Wow, Miley’s pitching great! No walks, six strikeouts…he’s a got a no-hitter going!” As a jinx myself, I don’t have any legs to stand on, but I went in on him anyway: “What are you doing? Why would you say that?” And I knew what was coming on the other end of the conversation, since Righty had noted that Miley hadn’t given up any walks: “It’s a perfect game!” So that was obviously out the window.

Lo and behold, as so often happens in these situations, I pulled up Gamecast on my own phone to check out the situation, and Chris Iannetta was standing on first base. “You idiot,” I said, glad that I, for once, was not the one who had jinxed an important sports moment. Iannetta had walked, so that meant the no-hitter was still going, but I knew it was only a matter of time. Kole Calhoun connected on a DEEP double over Mookie Betts’ head to lead off the 7th inning, and Miley gave up a second walk to David Freese, the first batter of the 8th inning, before giving up the mound to Junichi Tazawa, who got the Angels to go 1-2-3.

Miley had gone over 100 pitches during Freese’s walk. He pitched great, and obviously deserved better than the complete lack of run support he got. C.J. Wilson also pitched pretty well, but the Sox should’ve got something across the plate. Remarkably, though Boston tallied 5 hits and 3 walks, each of those baserunners came in a different inning from the 1st to the 8th. The 9th was the only Red Sox inning without a baserunner. Talk about hard luck.

When Koji Uehara came out to get the Red Sox into extra innings, I was confident. He looked good, forcing a pop out and getting Kole Calhoun to strike out. And then Mike Trout came up. I was still confident, somehow. We were going to extras, and I’d have to stay up, and it would be miserable, but we would go to extras. I pushed all thoughts about Koji’s tendency to give up solo home runs out of my head. I did the same to thoughts about how Mike Trout is probably the best baseball player of his generation. And then this happened:

And there was nothing to say but, “Welp, time for bed.” Koji missed his spot by inches, bringing what was supposed to be an outside pitch back toward the middle of the plate. And Trout took it deep to center. I wasn’t even mad. That’s just what happens sometimes when you’re up against the best player in the world.

Notes:

  • Even when Mike Napoli should get a hit, he doesn’t. As soon as the ball kicked off Smith’s shin, I knew he’d be out at first.
  • According to Christoper Smith of MassLive, Koji was “a little surprised to enter the game in a no-save situation.” I’ll look up the stats one of these days to see how much worse he is when a save isn’t on the line, because I’m 90% sure he’s much worse when there’s no save opportunity.

How Well Do You Know Lefty and Righty? A Quiz

You, loyal reader, have read over 90 posts on our blog here, and by now should have a somewhat firm grasp on the different personalities of Lefty and Righty. While we’ve been pretty good at sticking to baseball, we’ve snuck in some non-baseball items that should allow you to take the following quiz knowledgeably.

Lefty and Righty each answered the following 14 questions. We randomized who was answer “a” and who was answer “b”. See how well you know Lefty and Righty by reading our responses and voting on who you think authored response “a”. Answers are at the bottom. We’re not WordPress savvy enough to tally your total for you, so we’re working on the honor system here.

UPDATE: The poll plugin is really buggy and not working. Keep tally the old fashioned way and check your answers at the bottom when you’re done!

If you get 14/14 we’ll put your picture in our next blog (or not if you don’t want us to)! Good luck!

1) Kanye West is…

a. A jackass, but an extremely talented one. I’m partial to his early stuff (“Keep your nose out the sky /Keep your heart to God/ And keep your face to the rising sun” speaks to me more than “I am a god/ So hurry up with my damn massage/ In a French-ass restaurant/ Hurry up with my damn croissants”) but everything he does is interesting and somewhat original.

b. One of the best musicians of his generation. Also probably the most frustrating. Even odds that he abandons music entirely at some point to devote his time to designing a crappy fashion line.

Who wrote response "a" ?

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2) The Porcello contract is…

a. A total waste of money. What on earth were they thinking?

b. Too early to call. In his second year with the Red Sox, John Lackey had a 6.41 ERA  in 28 starts. That contract worked out alright.

Who wrote response "a" ?

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3) What is your favorite flavor of ice cream?

a. Cookie Dough

b. Orange Sherbet

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4) The Red Sox should be A) Buyers B) Sellers at the trade deadline.

a. A. Bring me Cueto!

b. A, buyers. I’m sure management would love to be sellers, but they’re just not far enough out of the race to justify it.

Who wrote response "a" ?

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5) The last 5 songs I listened to are…

a. 1. Maneater – Nelly Furtado
2. Apartment Story – The National
3. Joel the Lump of Coal – The Killers
4. Set of Jigs – Julie Fowlis
5. Doin’ It Right – Daft Punk

b. 1. Dance Yrself Clean – LCD Soundsystem
2. Adalida – George Strait
3. L$D – A$AP Rocky
4. Broken Arrows – Zac Brown Band/Avicii (I can’t stop listening to this. Help.)
5. love. – Kid Cudi

Who wrote response "a" ?

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6) My favorite pre-World Series Era Red Sox player was…
(Nomar counts as World Series Era. He has a ring.)

a. Rod Beck? Either him or El Guapo.

b. John Valentin. Sidenote: The first Red Sox player I ever knew was Jeff Reardon because I had his baseball card. I called him “Jeff Wierdo”,

Jeff Wierdo

Jeff Wierdo

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7) My highlight of the first half was…

a. Brock Holt hitting for the cycle. Tough year so far.

b. Red Sox beating the first place Royals 13-2 and taking the series. This came after the worst stretch of the season and they started to turn it around from there.

Who wrote response "a" ?

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8) Kid Cudi is…

a. A genius. A luminary. Like an older brother. My spirit animal.

b. Kind of interesting, but seems to me to be more about atmosphere than tune. Erase Me is a jam.

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9) How many more starts will Clay Buchholz make this season?

a. 12. Call me an optimist, I guess.

b. 10.

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10) What is your favorite fast food restaurant?

a. It would be silly to say anything other than McDonald’s. Though I do love KFC.

b. Culver’s.

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11) Pam or Karen?

a. Pam in a landslide.

b. Pam.

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12) Will Brock Holt make another All-Star team?

a. You know what? I was thinking I was gonna say no, but screw it. Yeah, he will. All he has to do is hit for three months again.

b. Anything is possible.

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13) List the Harry Potter series in order of preference.

a. 3, 4, 7, 5, 1, 6, 2

b. 3, 5, 4, 7, 6, 1, 2

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14) There’s a baseball game tomorrow against a team of All-Star level talent, and your life depends on the result. You can pick one Red Sox pitcher, one Red Sox hitter, and also a pitcher and hitter from the rest of the MLB. The rest of your team is made up of your friends and family. Who do you choose?

a. I thought about choosing Betts or Bogaerts, but Holt is the right choice, for the same reason that Ned Yost took him. Who knows what positions my friends can play? Brock can play them all. Also, Eduardo Rodriguez, praying he doesn’t blow up. And let’s not get fancy here. I’ll take Scherzer and Harper.

b. I’m taking Papi (defense be damned!) and a healthy Clay Buchholz. Give me Mike Trout and Madison Bumgarner. Madison can pitch forever and pinch hit. Trout may end up being the greatest player of our generation.

Who wrote response "a" ?

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Answers:

1) a. Righty
b. Lefty
2) a. Lefty
b. Righty
3) a. Righty
b. Lefty
4) a. Righty
b. Lefty
5) a. Lefty
b. Righty
6) a. Lefty
b. Righty
7) a. Lefty
b. Righty
8) a. Righty
b. Lefty
9) a. Lefty
b. Righty
10) a. Lefty
b. Righty
11) a. Lefty
b. Righty
12) a. Lefty
b. Righty
13) a. Righty
b. Lefty
14) a. Lefty
b. Righty

Midseason Report: Red Sox Catchers

They had to know they were posing for this one. (Globe Photo)

It’s the All-Star Break, and the All-Star festivities are over. So I guess it’s time to catch up with the players on this team and see how they’re doing. Since there’s nothing else to do. First up, catchers.

This was supposed to be a rock solid year, with Christian Vázquez sitting behind the dish and, I don’t know, probably batting about as well as the unit’s done this year anyway. I like to think he would’ve at least hit .235 or somewhere around what Blake Swihart’s put up. But it was not to be. Instead, we’ve had Swihart for 40 games, Sandy León for 33, and Ryan Hanigan for 26. It’s been interesting.

I’m going to really dig in to the stats here, so put your nerd hats on and get ready to crunch some numbers. The Sox’ catchers, as a unit, have been terrible offensively. To be fair, only 7 teams have gotten an offensive WAR above 0.0 from their catchers in 2015, but the Red Sox are all the way down at 25th with -16.4. And while that number might not be pretty, the on-field product is even uglier. In terms of power, it’s pretty simple:

  • 2 home runs
  • 0 triples
  • 11 doubles

These backstops have an isolated power (ISO) of .057, and all you have to know about that is that it’s the worst mark in MLB. But it’s not like they hit for average either. They’ve grounded into the most double plays in the majors, with 13. When they hit a fly ball, it’s been an infield pop-up 20% of the time, the highest percentage in the majors. And they’re not getting unlucky – they’re 13th in MLB in BABIP. On the bright side, they’re not the Mariners’ catchers (batting .150).

And these guys do have a few things to hang their hats on. They have the most sacrifice bunts (7), as a unit, in MLB. They’re second, behind the Marlins, in UBR (Fangraphs’ Ultimate Baserunning, which is more about situational common sense and execution than speed). They make contact on 84.7% of the pitches they see, 4th highest in MLB. And while they’re 26th in baseball in “positive events” relating to win probability, they also have the 3rd-lowest amount of “negative events.” Basically, they try not to get in the way. I’ll be honest, I don’t hate that strategy. On the other hand, it clearly hasn’t been a particularly successful way of doing things.

In the field, the Sox catchers have been very good, and while that doesn’t quite make up for the lackluster hitting, it’s nice that they’re not a total loss. Fangraphs rates the Boston catchers as the best in the league in defense, along with the Cubs. Yes, this is likely due mostly to Sandy León’s proclivity for throwing out runners. But each of the Sox’ catchers has been at least above average defensively.

In order of games played:

Blake Swihart

On April 5th: After Vázquez’s unfortunate injury (another guy I was really high on), people wondered whether Boston would accelerate Blake’s timetable and perhaps have him break camp with the big club. Again, possibly hoping to avoid another JBJ situation, the Red Sox quickly put an end to that talk by acquiring León. But given the fact that Hanigan and León are both light hitters, don’t be surprised if Swihart gets a call-up sooner rather than later. His defensive game still needs to come around, but the kid can hit. Learning under a good defender like Hanigan could help make the transition a little smoother. – Righty

On July 15th: After batting above .300 in Pawtucket, he’s been a little disappointing at the plate (.241/.279/.323). For now, though, that can be chalked up to the transition to the majors. Oh, and also the fact that he has an absolutely abysmal walk-to-strikeout ratio, with 7 walks and 36 strikeouts on the year. The only regular player with a comparable strikeout rate is Mike Napoli, and as badly as he’s been hitting (.193, in case you need a reminder), he still gets on base more than Swihart. Anyway, the kid’s a better offensive option than León, but it’s not by as much as you might think. And while both León and Swihart have caught 9 runners stealing, León’s only given up 7 stolen bases (one of the best ratios in MLB), while Swihart’s given up 23. Basically, I still believe in this guy, but he definitely needs more seasoning.

Also, I was going to pick on Swihart for his high numbers of passed balls and wild pitches, but then I remembered that Steven Wright has done some pitching. Lo and behold, Swihart’s been the catcher for 10 of Wright’s 11 appearances. I’ll give him a pass.

He was put on the 15-day DL on July 3rd and sent to Pawtucket for a rehab assignment on July 11th, so we’ll see whether he gets called up or stays down in AAA.

Sandy León

On April 5th: Traded a washing machine for this guy once Vázquez was out long-term. He has some upside, but he didn’t fit in with the Nationals, slotting behind Wilson Ramos and José Lobatón. He can’t really hit, but he does it from both sides of the plate. His career numbers in the minors are pretty good defensively. If you type his name into YouTube, the first result is a video that just says “Ground out.” – Lefty

On July 15th: León’s pretty much an automatic out with an OBP of .247, but like I said above, he’s been as good as he possibly could have been advertised in the field. If he were qualified in terms of games played, I’m pretty sure he’d be second in MLB in caught stealing percentage. He’s also been the catcher of choice for the Sox’ best starter, Clay Buchholz. And he’s done well in that capacity. But with Clay on the disabled list, it comes down to how tough it is to keep putting León in the lineup offensively.

Ryan Hanigan

On April 5th: Look, this isn’t ideal. We brought him in to be the backup, and here we are. This is a guy who’s batted .208 over the past two years. It’s not good. He’s 34, so we’re probably not looking at a career resurrection here. But the optimist in me thinks there’s a chance we get .240 or better and some solid defense out of him if he catches half the season. Over two years from 2012 to 2013 with CIncinnati, Hanigan threw out 47 of 99 runners. That’s really fucking good. On the other hand, last year he threw out 8 of 38 (that’s really fucking bad). Worst of all, Middlebrooks is raking in San Diego right now. He’d better crap the bed once he has to play in Petco. – Lefty

On July 15th: Hanigan’s the best offensive option available, mostly because he walks at a great rate – he’s had 15 walks and 15 strikeouts on the year. And while he’s only batting .231, he’s got a pretty incredible .376 OBP, behind only All-Star Brock Holt on the Red Sox. He’s been pretty standard in terms of overall offensive production, and that’s really all you’re looking for if you don’t have a really great catcher. He does need to step up the defense (worse than both Swihart and León), but overall, he’s the guy you want in the lineup day-to-day if you can accept middling play both offensively and defensively.