2016 Red Sox Roster Preview (Kind of): Infield

red sox roster preview

One of these things is not like the other ones (hint: he's not in the starting lineup anymore. And he's fat). Photo: Adam Hunger/USA Today Sports

The Starters

Catcher

Blake Swihart

2015: 84 games, .274/.319/.392, 5 HRs, 4 SBs (2 CS)

Became the only Sox catcher of consequence last year after Ryan Hanigan broke his hand in early May and Christian Vazquez went under the knife for Tommy John surgery. Sandy León was the backup, but was essentially an automatic out with an on-base percentage of .238 and a slugging percentage that was somehow lower.

While Swihart’s production was certainly a lot better than León’s and it’s enough to hold the starting catcher position for now with Hanigan as his only competition, it could be a different story when Vazquez returns from his current rehab stint in a few weeks. Swihart’s offensive skills are tantalizing for a catcher, but he’ll have to rake a lot harder and with more consistency if he wants to continue getting everyday reps.

1st Base

Hanley Ramírez

2015: 105 games (92 at LF, 11 at DH, 1 at 3B), .249/.291/.426, 19 HRs, 6 SBs (3 CS)

You all know the story, but in case you’ve forgotten, Hanley’s 2015 went something like this: oh man, hot start, Hanley’s so good. Oh wait, he kind of stinks at playing left field, but ha ha who cares, he’s hitting so well. Oh, just kidding, now he ran into a wall and he stinks at everything.

The question with Hanley for 2016 is whether he can produce enough at the plate to make it worth playing him at 1st base, a position with more than its fair share of great hitters. So far, the answer is yes, but I probably thought Hanley was a lock for the All-Star team at this point last year.

2nd Base

Dustin Pedroia

2015: 93 games (92 at 2B, 1 at DH), .291/.356/.441, 12 HRs, 2 SBs (2 CS)

Last year was another disappointment for Pedroia when it came to staying healthy. When he played, he was mostly great, but his hamstring kept him out of the lineup even after he tried to return from an early summer stint on the DL. We may never get the 2007-2011 version of Pedey again, but the Sox can’t go wrong with 150+ games of Gold Glove defense and high offensive production from a second baseman. There’s no one I’d rather have at second base (provided, of course, that he’s playing).

3rd Base

Travis Shaw

2015: 65 games (55 at 1B, 8 at 3B, 1 at LF), .270/.327/.487, 13 HRs, 0 SBs (1 CS)

Shaw started getting regular playing time in August, mashed, and was eventually declared Mayor of Ding Dong City. As for being an everyday 3rd baseman, well, we’ll see, but he can’t be worse than Pablo Sandoval. And when I say he can’t be worse, I’m really not stretching the truth that far. Not only was he terrible, but he was terrible for a long time. We just kept trotting him out there, and he kept being terrible and fat. It was awful.

But this is about Travis Shaw, who seems like a pretty cool guy, and hopefully he keeps hitting, because otherwise we’ll be in for another 5 months of 3rd base being played by a man whose idea of losing weight is gaining 20 pounds and who has the plate discipline of a drunk Vladimir Guerrero.

Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts

2015: 156 games, .320/.355/.421, 7 HRs, 10 SBs (2 CS), Silver Slugger

Xandah Bogahts!

When I say Xander Bogaerts is there something funny about that? from Kathryn on Vimeo.

Finally, a member of the Red Sox infield who played something resembling an entire 2015 season. Separating himself from the rest of his woebegotten squad with a breakout season, Bogaerts came into his own and established himself as one of the premier shortstops in baseball. While people started paying him notice for his offensive production, his defense also took a big step up: he went from committing the 2nd most errors among AL shortstops in 2014 to possessing the 2nd best AL shortstop fielding percentage in 2015.

And that’s a good thing, because there’s reason to curb our enthusiasm for Bogaerts’ offense. A statistician might tell you he got lucky last year – his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) was about 30 points higher than his career average. But principles of regression aside, Xander’s approach has its own inherent issues. He drew only 32 walks in 654 plate appearances last year, and he struck out over 100 times. He hasn’t really shown the ability to hit for consistent power either, even though 35 doubles is a pretty decent number. I’m saying our shortstop is bound to fall back to Earth a bit this year, but hopefully not before we get a few more clutch hits out of his system.

Oh, and he only just turned 23.

The Bench

Catcher

Ryan Hanigan

2015: 54 games, .247/.347/.328, 2 HRs, 0 SBs (0 CS)

When he isn’t driving Righty crazy by leaving his throwing hand in harm’s way, Andover’s own Ryan Hanigan is about as safe a 2-way catcher as you’ll see in MLB. He’s reliable behind the dish, always seems to be putting a lot of thought into his pitch selection, and his caught stealing percentage of 33% was marginally better than Swihart’s 28%.

On the offensive side, he’s no great shakes, but he’s a sight better than Sandy León. What he does do with admirable regularity is draw walks – throughout his career, walks have made up an eerily consistent 10% of his plate appearances. He’ll be around, and hopefully he’ll be able to keep coaching Joe Kelly through some starts.

Utility

Josh Rutledge

2015: 39 games (30 at 2B, 5 at 3B, 4 at DH), .284/.333/.338, 1 HR, 0 SBs (0 CS)

The product of the Shane Victorino trade, Rutledge had a cup of coffee with Boston after the All-Star Break in 2015. He was fine, and he didn’t embarrass himself. And now he’s up in the bigs again due to a certain recent disabled list assignation.

Josh seems nice enough, and he’s streaky and still young, but the truth is that you don’t want to see him in too many games. If he does start showing up in the starting lineup, it probably means that the roster has suddenly become riddled with injuries. It could also mean that someone went down in the infield and John Farrell decided that he’d rather put Rutledge in directly and keep Brock Holt in left field than slide Holt to the infield and replace him with Rusney Castillo. Anyway, yeah. It’s just something to think about.

P.S. Literally as I was writing this, I saw that Rusney Castillo had been optioned to Pawtucket. And there you have it.

Disabled List

Catcher

Christian Vázquez

2015: Out (Tommy John surgery)

It’s been so long since I’ve seen him play that I can’t say with absolute certainty whether or not he’s still a defensive force. But if I were a betting man, I’d say he still is. HARD-HITTING JOURNALISM, FOLKS.

And now that Castillo has been sent down to Pawtucket, maybe now’s the time for Vázquez to be called up? If not the catcher, then who? Henry Owens? Roenis Elias? It’s a mystery.

3rd Base

Pablo Sandoval

2015: 126 games, .245/.292/.366, 10 HRs, 0 SBs (0 CS)

This fat fuck. He STINKS. Okay, maybe he was a little unlucky last year, as his BABIP was all the way down to .270 from a career .307 average. But that can only explain so much of his futility. The guy was literally the worst deal in baseball last year. In every game that he played, he was such a negative influence that his Wins Above Replacement rating just kept sinking lower and lower until he had the lowest WAR in baseball. It was really quite an incredible achievement.

In any case, he showed up fat, and he still seemed to suck at baseball, so he lost his starting 3rd base job to Travis Shaw. And now he’s on the DL with a “strained right shoulder,” i.e., being a fat load. Anyway, there’s been so much written about this guy that I can’t bring myself to waste more energy on him. Until he actually shows some consistent and positive performance, the guy might as well be dead to me.

Weekend Recap: Red Sox Take 2 of 3 From Division Champs

Brock Holt is such the man before the All-Star break #BrockStar4lyf (Photo: Frank Gunn/The Canadian Press via AP)

Brock Holt is such the man before the All-Star break #BrockStar4lyf (Photo: Frank Gunn/The Canadian Press via AP)

The Red Sox took two out of three on the road against the defending AL East champs this weekend, winning their first series of the year.

Friday Night: Red Sox 8, Blue Jays 7

What started out as an unmitigated disaster turned out to be the most fun I’ve had watching a Red Sox game in a long time. Joe Kelly took the hill and had an outing that was a perfect encapsulation of his career. Threw hard, at times looked unhittable, left pitches up, missed spots, and ended up getting rocked to the tune of 7 earned in 3 innings.

In Spring Training, Kelly worked on sacrificing some velocity to have better control of his pitches. In innings 1-3 Kelly stuck to the plan, and it was effective, but It seemed like when he got in trouble he reverted to old familiar ways. He hit 99 on the gun in the bottom of the 4th, when the Blue Jays would tag him for 6 runs. He left the game with the score 7-2 bad guys.

But the Brock Star picked up ol’ Pumpsie.

In the top of the 6th, Xander doubled, and Ortiz and Shaw walked, packing the sacks for Brock, who already had an RBI double on the evening.

7-6 bad guys.

In the top of the next inning, the Sox strung together four consecutive singles to take an 8-7 lead. Pedroia and Bogaerts set the table, and Ortiz and Ramirez knocked in the game-tying and go-ahead runs, just like they drew it up. 8-7 good guys.

Craig Kimbrel locked down the 9th for his first save in a Boston uniform.

The 2015 Red Sox came back to win after trailing by 4 runs or more exactly one time (I don’t have the numbers on me, but I think the 2013 team did it like 1,000 times). The 2016 squad has thus far responded well after getting down early. The fact that they always seem to be down early is another issue.

Saturday Afternoon: Red Sox 8, Blue Jays 4

Rick Porcello started this one and for a minute it looked like his start would mirror Joe Kelly’s from the day before. He gave up a pair of two-run home runs to Jose Bautista in the first and third, putting his club down early. One brilliant Red Sox blogger said before the season started that keeping the ball in the yard was one of the keys to Porcello’s season. Gopher balls aside, Freddie pitched pretty well, walking one and striking out 7 over 6 innings. The seven strikeouts are nice, but Rick gets in trouble when he falls in love with the K instead of keeping ball down in the zone to get groundouts.

The runs came thanks to a steady offensive attack (the Sox had 11 hits), and got some help from R.A. Dickey knuckleballs that fluttered too much for Jays’ catcher Josh Thole to catch.

Hanley also “tripled” when his looping would-be-single hit a seam in the Rogers Centre turf and bounced over Joey Bats’ head.

Sunday Afternoon: Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 0

The Red Sox had been scoring at an unsustainable pace to open up the season, so I feel like this was just a regression to the mean.

Steven Wright was great for Boston:

PITCHERS IP  H  R ER BB SO HR PC-ST ERA
Wright (L, 0-1) 6.2 6 2 1 3 5 0 118-78 1.35

Joe Kelly better step it up.

Notes:

-Travis Shaw has an OPS of .859 and is making plays like this at third base. Meanwhile, Pablo Sandoval is batting .000 with 4 strikeouts in 6 at bats, one busted belt on a swing and miss, and has an error in the field.

-Hanley was 3 for 4 with a double on Sunday, boosting his average to .455. Of course, Hanley was a monster last April too, hitting 10 home runs in the first month of the season, and we all know how that turned out. But his early success this season is more sustainable. He’s taking the ball to the opposite field on a regular basis, hitting for average first and letting the power come naturally. Obviously he won’t hit .455, but Hanley’s swing is much more compact than last season, and his leg kick isn’t nearly as high, giving him more bat control. Oh and by the way, he hasn’t made an error at first base.

-It’s early in the season and Brock Holt is raking. In other news, water is wet.

-Today is the home opener, Righty will be there, and all is right in the world.

Weather Splits Series with Sox, 2-2

What it looks like over Cleveland right now. Probably.

For the 2nd time in 4 days, a Red Sox game has been postponed. CLEVELAND!!!

It’s also 1:43 in the morning right now, so I’m going to try to keep this short and sweet. Just a couple things to go over.

  • John Farrell has decided to run through the full rotation for the first go-around despite the most recent postponement. That means we’re getting Joe Kelly (somehow a #3 starter!), Rick Porcello, and Steven Wright for the next 3 games in Toronto and oh shit, it’s like I slipped into a fever dream from summer 2015. On the one hand, maybe it’s a good decision for continuity purposes and to get everyone into the swing of things. On the other hand, Farrell is basically flipping a coin with Wright rather than handing the ball to David Price for the Toronto series finale. And on the other other hand, the Sox will now use their ace in the home opener at Fenway. IT’S A CONSPIRACY, MAN. JOHN HENRY CONTROLS THE WEATHER.
  • There’s either not much to say yet about this team, or I’m really tired, or both. I just stared at the screen for 2 minutes while yawning and chuckling to myself about Pablo Sandoval being 0 for 1 so far this year.
  • RICH HILL UPDATE: Dude had a tough first day. He hit Adam Eaton with the first pitch of the game. Then he hit Jose Abreu later in the inning. And he got through that without giving up a run, and he had a clean 2nd inning, but then he gave up a triple, a single, and a double, and there were 2 errors (one by Hill), and he got yanked. Not his best, but I’m not convinced he’s out of gas yet.
  • I was going to come up with good, bad, and ugly sections, but I can’t think of anything notable to say for good and bad. So I’ll just do…
  • UGLY: I still haven’t written anything about the infielders, so both of our fans will have to wait until the weekend for my EXPERT INSIGHTS.

2016 Red Sox Roster Preview: Outfielders

red sox outfielders

Your 2016 Boston Red Sox starting outfield. (Jim Davis/Globe Staff)

The Starters

Left Field

Brock Holt

2015: 129 games (58 at 2B, 33 at 3B, 20 at RF, 8 at LF, 7 at SS, 5 at 1B, 2 at CF, 1 at DH), .280/.349/.379, 2 HRs, 8 SBs (1 CS), made 1st All-Star Game.

The Brock Star’s propensity for excellent production before the All-Star break and a precipitous decline afterwards carried itself to its logical conclusion last year. He earned an I-shit-you-not All-Star nod on the strength of his utility player heroics and .791 OPS, and then not-unexpectedly crashed down to Earth with a very pedestrian .653 OPS the rest of the way.

I guess what I’m saying is that you could do much worse than Holt as an opening day left fielder, but he’s probably better suited to fill in at other spots once injuries inevitably come into play. And that means a certain 27-year-old Cuban would-be phenom is going to have to step up.

Center Field

Jackie Bradley, Jr.

2015: 74 games (32 at RF, 27 at CF, 17 at LF), .249/.335/.498, 10 HRs, 3 SBs (0 CS)

That’s right, it’s everyone’s favorite mercurially talented outfielder, hopefully ready to finally lay claim to his rightful everyday spot in Boston’s outfield. When he’s not making catches at the wall look routine or throwing the ball from home plate over the center field wall for kicks and giggles, he could either be found going 5 for 40 (see May through July) or looking like Willie Mays’ secret mutant son (see August). This is a guy who had 55 hits last year, and most of them were for extra bases. So yeah. He could be pretty good.

Right Field

Mookie Betts

2015: 145 games (133 at CF, 11 at RF, 1 at DH), .291/.341/.479, 18 HRs, 21 SBs (6 CS), 19th in MVP voting.

Mookie slashed his way into the hearts and minds of Sox fans last year despite the team’s dreadful overall performance. He’s one of maybe 2 or 3 players that I think of as untouchable (in terms of trade discussions), and it’s as much for his bat as for stuff like this:

via GIPHY

Yeah, he’s tremendous. If both he and Bradley can come close to their performances at the plate in the 2nd half of 2015 – well, that would probably be too much to hope for, but it would be amazing. And it’s hard not to feel good about Betts in right field. He’s already proven that he’s more than capable of handling center, and it’s no slight against him that Bradley is a better fit for center field. Mookie is an incredible athlete, but he’s also a converted second baseman. And JBJ is a savant.

The Bench

Rusney Castillo

2015: 75 games (48 at RF, 24 at LF, 6 at CF, 2 at DH), .253/.288/.359, 5 HRs, 4 SBs (5 CS)

Not a super showing for Rusney last year, and that performance combined with his struggles this spring have led to Brock Holt starting in left field. So far, he can’t really run, he doesn’t walk, he doesn’t slug, he doesn’t hit for average, he plays okay defense, and he’s 28 years old. I’d say it’s now or never, except that the Sox are due to pay him $11 million a year for the next 4 years. Oh boy.

Chris Young

2015: 140 games (76 at RF, 55 at LF, 15 at CF, 2 at DH), .252/.320/.453, 14 HRs, 3 SBs (1 CS)

A Yankee last year, Young is a pretty durable guy, having played at least 100 games every year since 2007. He was an All-Star in 2010 for Arizona, and hey, you know, he’s pretty good. He had the 5th best fielding percentage among AL outfielders last year. You could do much, MUCH worse than Young as a backup outfielder. And we have (see Craig, Allen).

Stay tuned for more roster analysis over the next couple days as we scratch and claw to make this blog look respectable.